Weather is the carpenter that constructs the snowpack and makes the snowpack stable or unstable.
Knowing what weather has occurred in the past can give us a sense if
the snowpack is likely stable or unstable. Likewise, listening to or
reading weather forecasts gives us some indication of how future
weather events may affect the snowpack and make it more or less stable.
The following are weather conditions that almost always cause the snowpack to become unstable and liable to slide:
1) Significant Precipitation:
Snow and/or rain adds weight to the snowpack. The harder it snows or
rains, the more difficult it is for the snowpack to adjust to the
additional weight or load and the more likely it is for the snowpack to
avalanche.
- Rain falling on cold unconsolidated snow will almost always lead to unstable conditions and avalanches.
2) Wind:
Wind blown snow often creates dense slabs on the leeward or down wind
sides of ridges and other terrain features. When wind transports snow
from one location and deposits it at another location (see photo to the
right) it adds weight to the existing snowpack which almost always
causes the snowpack to become less stable and more apt to avalanche.
3) Rising Temperatures:
Warming temperature can make the snowpack less stable in the short term
and more stable in the long term. Rapid warming typically causes
individual snow layers to creep and can cause the entire snowpack to
glide downhill (see the snow "gliding" off the old car to the right).
Creep and/or glide add stress to the snowpack and often make it less
stable and more apt to avalanche.
- Prolonged
temperatures well above freezing melts the surface of the snowpack and
which allows often allows free water to saturate the snow pack and
weaken the bonds between individual layers and increase the likelihood
of wet snow avalanches.
However,
when prolonged periods above freezing are followed by prolonged periods
well below freezing and when temperatures fluctuate frequently between
just above freezing to several degrees below freezing, the snowpack
tends to become more stable and weak layers tend to strengthen.